While there is certainly some nuance, pattern recognition, and experience involved, weather forecasting is very rigorous and scientific. It is a daunting task steeped in complex, quantitative science. Such models predict the behavior and changes of the atmospheric fluid over a rotating, quasi-spherical reference frame in four dimensions. ![]() Modern weather forecasting is primarily based on sophisticated numerical weather prediction models. As someone with three degrees in meteorology, my transcripts are packed with classes in differential equations, thermodynamics, dynamics, physics, and so forth. Just recently, I pushed back on a Tweet that suggested weather forecasting was different than other science challenges because aspects of it are “art” rather than hard, quantitative science. Weather forecasting is art, magic, or guesswork. I have often wondered why people go right to the “tornado” explanation.ħ. In fact, the criteria for a severe thunderstorm is “a thunderstorm that produces one inch hail or larger in diameter and/or winds equal or exceed 58 miles an hour,” according to NOAA. Often times, severe weather causes wind damage in communities, but the public often defaults to, “I think a tornado came through my area.” Many of these instances turn out to be straight-line winds, microbursts, or other non-tornadic winds. If there was wind damage, a tornado probably caused it. National Weather Service statistics suggest that heat and flooding have been the most deadly weather events, on average, in the United States over the past 30 years.Ħ. The study also found that cold-related deaths were greater over the 2000 to 2019 period, but climate change is shifting the ledger towards heat-related deaths going. A recent study found that 9.4% of global deaths annually were related to extreme heat or cold exposure. Tornadoes or hurricanes are the weather events that kill more people each each year. PHOTOGRAPH BY Jason Weingart / Barcroft Images London-T:+44 2 - New York-T:+1 2 - New Delhi-T:+91 11 4053 2429 (Photo credit should read Jason Weingart / Barcroft Media via Getty Images / Barcroft Media via Getty Images) Barcroft Media via Getty Imagesģ. Last year, the Texas-based photographer tracked down everything from supercell systems to a double rainbow and his love of storms is still as powerful as ever. Veteran storm chaser Jason Weingart travels thousands of miles every year to document the worlds most elusive weather systems. ![]() AN EXPERT storm chaser has revealed his incredible footage of 2016s wildest storms. *** EXCLUSIVE - VIDEO AVAILABLE *** MINNEOLA, KANSAS - : A stove pipe tornado cuts its.
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